Ligue 1

2nd round – post match analysis

Rennes 2 – 1 Montpellier

My picks: Rennes -0,5 at 1,99 & Rennes team totals over 1,5 at 2,33

As expected, we’ve seen Rennes with N’Zonzi in the pivot role in midfield, giving Camavinga a bit more of “free hands” going up, and even though Niang wasn’t among the starters, Rennes looked decent offensively. On the other side, Montpellier arrived very defensively orientated but without Delort, as expected offensively they weren’t the same. As we can see from statistics, Rennes have controlled the match, prepared way more chances, and at the end deservedly won. Yes, the final result was 2-1, but Rennes had dozens of opportunities in the first half to “finish” the match but Hunou missed two incredible chances. At the end of the first half, Mollet – midfielder of Montpelier received a red card after the referee checking the VAR video – and I’m not saying that because it went in my favor, but because I honestly do agree with the decision. Even though I think he didn’t do it on purpose, he did touch Mouassa’s head, so… At the start of 2nd half, we’ve seen two posts – first by Soquet (Montpellier), then Raphinga (Rennes), and in 73rd another red card, this time for Rennes – Martin Terrier lost the ball in the midfield and tackled Delort in rush… You can see the foul in the video at 2min 30sec and so I will let you decide. Shortly after, only 4-5 minutes after the red card, Camavinga showed why he’s marked as one of the biggest wonderkids in the world at the moment. When everyone thought the match has finished, Delort scored a header from a very tough position, but all in all, Montpellier simply wasn’t at the level of Rennes this Saturday.


Strasbourg 0 – 2 Nice

My pick: both teams to score at 1,847

Strasbourg started offensively as expected. They’ve created some solid chances but they simply weren’t clinical enough to beat Benitez, the goalkeeper of Nice. In the 37th minute they “prepared” the penalty for Nice, after they lost the ball while playing around in defense. Dolberg scored and that was more or less everything in the first half. In second, Strasbourg directly went for the equalizing goal, pushed the line a bit higher on the pitch, but in the 59th minute Lala made a mistake in the middle of the pitch, Gouiri took the ball, assisted to Dolberg and the Danish striker found himself once again in a 1on1 position with the goalkeeper Kawashima and scored with ease. All in all, it looks like Strasbourg can not find “their way” of playing and with what we’ve seen far they are struggling both offensively and defensively. As mentioned in the analysis, I expected Laurey to start with Ajorque and Waris upfront as they struggled offensively against Lorient, but that wasn’t the case.




Reims 0 – 1 Lille

My picks: Lille +0 at 1,833 & Lille team totals over 1 at 1,98 

Reims started in 433 formation, while Lille as expected this time in 4222 formation with David and Yilmaz partnership in attack and support of Bamba and Ikone from the wings. As mentioned in the analysis, Reims struggled to prepare chances, in the same way, like against Monaco and they stayed without a single shot on target in the first half. In second, they adapted tactics a bit, but at the same time we’ve seen Lille pulling themselves a bit lower on the pitch, trying with more direct attacks from counters and that’s why the ball possession completely changed after the first half and finished at 50-50. Even though Reims had 60% possession in the second half, had only 4 shots, 0 of those on the target. Yes, they have scored once, but from offside and the goal was correctly dismissed. Even though Reims looked better defensively than in the opening game against Monaco, Lille did their job here and deservedly took all three points. Unfortunately for us, we’ve got only the pick on asian handicap 0 correct, while the pick on Lille’s over 1 goal has been voided.


Metz 0 – 1 Monaco

My pick: Monaco team totals over 1,5 at 2,06

I’ve been complaining about red cards in this league a lot last year, and even though we’re just over the 2nd round in the new season, there has already been plenty of very arguable red cards.

As written in the analysis,  There is no doubt, that Monaco has another huge star “in creating” – Badiashile, the young defender scored his 2nd goal this season. Monaco had 2-3 more solid chances in the first half, but it looks like the best goalscorer from 2019/20 Wissam Ben Yedder still hasn’t found his scoring boots this season. The second half started with the red card for Fofana, and that’s one of the cards, everyone have been talking about – including Cesc Fabregas who tweeted:

After the red card, Monaco’s manager Niko Kovac was forced to change the orientation of his team, and after it was mostly about Metz – they were the better team, trying to score the goal to equalize, while Monaco was mostly defending the lead they had.


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