SPA La Liga, 21th round

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Monday

Deportivo Alaves v Rayo Vallecano; 21:00

My suggestion for this match is to take both teams to score with odds around 1,95. With a bit of luck, we can be without worries already after the first half. Even though Alaves is sitting on the high 5th place, Rayo is the team in form. Rayo is coming in Alaves after a heavy defeat against Getafe (4-0) and they will try to do their best to forget this result. They will miss suspended midfielder Pina, while defender Navarro remains doubtful. Rayo, on the other hand, is coming without bigger worries. With 10 points in last 4 matches, they climbed a bit higher on the league table and now they are only 1 point behind 17th placed Celta. With 36 goals conceded, I think that it’s clear that they aren’t really a team from who we expect clean sheets so if they will want to achieve something today on Mendizorozza, they will have to score.

 

Sunday

Athletic Bilbao v Betis; 18:30

The period between September and the middle of December was horrible for Basque club, who is currently on the 14th position on the league table. Lately, with the new boss in charge, they are showing better performances, getting much more points and they are only 3 points behind the 9th placed rival from San Sebastian. Today’s opponent Betis is standing pretty solid on 8th place with 29 points (6 more than Bilbao). Both teams have some very strong individuals, especially offensively and as I do expect an open match, I expect goals as well. It’s hard to say which team will have an upper hand in this encounter, but due to the offensive potential of both teams, I suggest going with goals here. Therefore my betting advice here is to take over 2,5 with odds above 2,20 or both teams to score with odds around 2,00. Of course, there’s a decent value on combo bet as well (over & both to score).

 

Real Sociedad v Huesca; 18:30

I think that there are no more doubts – Huesca won’t be part of the La Liga next season. Yes, they will probably surprise some teams and steal some points, but I cannot see that happen today. Sociedad played two 2-2 draws in last two matches, and before the biggest derby against Bilbao, they have to clinch a victory. I have nothing more to say at this one, as I expect one-way football and if anything spectacular won’t happen – like one shot one goal for Huesca, I think that Sociedad will win this match with more than a goal difference. Therefore my betting suggestion is to take Sociedad -1 with odds around 2,00 or go even higher and take -1,5 with 2,67!

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